Belmont Stakes Preview
This Saturday, the best three year old horses in the world will gather for the third leg of the Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes. The Belmont is the longest of the three Triple Crown races, at 1 mile and one half. None of these horses have ever been this distance, so I always like to look for a price as opposed to betting the favorite.
(You can discuss this on the BSL Board here.)
Recent history shows that the longshot theory is a good one in the Belmont with horses like Commendable, Sarava, Da Tara, Ruler On Ice, and Lemon Drop Kid all paying $30 or more to win. This year’s race features an overwhelming and deserved favorite in Preakness winner and Derby runner up Exaggerator. He’ll be tough on Saturday, but I think he’s beatable. Here’s a few to look at if you want to play the race and hope for a big score.
Cherry Wine (8-1 morning line) ran a nice rallying second in the Preakness and looks to be on the improve. His Beyer Speed Figure has gone up in six straight races. and he could be sitting on his best race yet. Suddenbreakingnews (10-1 morning line) is another improving colt, who finished 5th in the Kentucky Derby his last time out. He’s been rested for 5 weeks, and is one of the few who has the pedigree to go the mile and a half, as his Grand Sires on both sides are past Belmont Winners (AP Indy in 1992, and Afleet Alex in 2005).
Arkansas Derby winner Creator (10-1 morning line) is another I’m going to add to my exotics. He got slammed early in the Derby and never really ran. He’ll be far back early and will look to make one run on the long Belmont Stretch.
Other contenders like Stradivari, Destin, and Governor Malibu could pose a legit threat, but since I can’t bet them all, I’m going to leave them out of my wagers.
My Plays for the Belmont Stakes-$1000 outlay
$200 Win/Place -Cherry Wine
$50 3 Horse Exacta Box: