So here we are, two weeks in. If you want a refresher on the models used in this post, be sure to go to the original post this year. It can be found here.
Expected Wins by the Baltimore Orioles using Five Projections (4/22/2013)
mJS | PWE | mBP | Parcells | fWAR | |
4/1/2013 | 72.6 | 81.0 | 74.9 | 81.0 | 81.0 |
4/8/2013 | 73.5 | 97.1 | 75.3 | 81.0 | 115.9 |
4/15/2013 | 73.9 | 88.0 | 76.1 | 81.0 | 94.5 |
4/22/2013 | 75.3 | 90.4 | 77.6 | 90.0 | 86.2 |
The five system as slowly contracting towards each other as we are three weeks into the year. However, this should be nowhere near enough games to know what will happen by the end of the year. All three models that I have games back data on, put the Orioles at least 10 behind the division lead.
Now for the fWAR.
AL Final Standings by fWAR (4/22/2013)
Team | Wins | fWAR | Final | Rank |
Tigers | 9 | 6.7 | 104.4 | Central |
Rangers | 12 | 6.2 | 103.4 | West |
Yankees | 10 | 5.5 | 99.0 | East |
Red Sox | 12 | 5.4 | 97.0 | WC1 |
Athletics | 12 | 5.5 | 94.9 | WC2 |
Indians | 7 | 4.6 | 88.3 | |
Royals | 10 | 4.2 | 87.9 | |
Orioles | 10 | 4.3 | 86.2 | |
Twins | 8 | 2.3 | 73.2 | |
Rays | 8 | 2.5 | 69.8 | |
ChiSox | 7 | 2.4 | 68.0 | |
Blue Jays | 8 | 1.9 | 63.8 | |
Angels | 7 | 1.6 | 62.7 | |
Astros | 5 | 1.4 | 58.0 | |
Mariners | 7 | 0.5 | 51.7 |
Second week in a row without playoff dreams.
NL Final Standings by fWAR (4/22/2013)
Team | Wins | fWAR | Final | Rank |
Rockies | 13 | 6.8 | 109.2 | West |
Braves | 13 | 6.6 | 107.6 | East |
Reds | 11 | 6.4 | 100.7 | Central |
Giants | 12 | 5 | 91.1 | WC1 |
Dbacks | 10 | 4.9 | 91.0 | WC2 |
Mets | 9 | 4.6 | 90.3 | |
Cardinals | 10 | 4.4 | 87.0 | |
Dodgers | 8 | 4.2 | 83.4 | |
Nationals | 10 | 3.4 | 79.0 | |
Brewers | 9 | 2.8 | 75.0 | |
Pirates | 10 | 2.7 | 73.4 | |
Phillies | 8 | 2.7 | 69.8 | |
Cubs | 5 | 2.1 | 65.0 | |
Padres | 5 | -0.4 | 43.6 | |
Marlins | 4 | -0.4 | 42.5 |
Jon Shepherd founded the Baltimore Orioles blog Camden Depot in 2007. In addition to Baltimore Orioles analysis, the blog also focuses on qualitative and quantitative approaches to assessing baseball in general as well as providing mainstream reviews and commentary on substances alleged to performance enhancing. Dr. Shepherd’s writing has been featured on ESPN, and his blog has been part of the ESPN Sweetspot Network since May 2011. He has made radio and podcast appearances for Orioles’ centered programs.