The Orioles June Preview
Baltimore is 23-26, with 2 games remaining in the Month of May. The Orioles are 16-11 at OPACY, and 7-15 on the road.
The O’s are currently 5.5 games back of New York in the American League East.
The O’s have 26 games scheduled in June:
@ Seattle: June 1st – June 3rd
@ Oakland: June 5th – June 7th
Seattle: June 9th – June 11th
Atlanta: June 12th – June 14th
NYM: June 16th – 18th
@ Philly: June 19th – 21st
@ Florida: June 23rd – 25th
Washington: June 26th – 28th
Boston: June 29th – 30th
This means that Baltimore will play 14 games at home for the month, 12 games on the road, and 15 games vs the National League East.
Seattle is 23-26 overall, 12-12 at home, 4-2 against the AL East.
Oakland is 18-28 overall, 11-13 at home, 8-10 against the AL East.
Atlanta is 24-24 overall, 13-12 on the road.
NYM are 27-20 overall, 11-12 on the road.
Philly is 26-20 overall, 10-14 at home.
Florida is 22-27 overall, 9-14 at home.
Washington is 13-34 overall, 6-18 on the road.
There are off days on the 4th, 8th, and the 22nd.
Goals & Thoughts for the Month
1) The O’s were 11-7 in interleague play during 2008, and they have started 2-1 in interleague play during 2009. The goal should be 9-6 inthe 15 interleague games for the month.
2) The O’s are 16-11 at home with 2 games remaining in the month. In June, the goal should be 10-4 in the 14 June home games.
3) The O’s are just 7-15 on the road, and have 12 games on the road in June. The goal should be 6-6, but 5-7 is probably more likely.
4) The O’s ended April at 9-13, they are currently 23-26. To meet my expectation of a 15-14 May, the O’s have to win 1 of the last 2 May games vs Detroit. In June, my expectation is a 15-11 month.
5) Matt Wieters made his Major League Debut last night, May 29th.Wieters should get roughly 100 at-bats during the month, and you just want to see him get off to a solid-start, beginning with plate-discipline.
6) Reimold has 5 homers in his first 56 at-bats, and currently has anOPS of .888. Reimold has been prone to extremes in the minors where he goes on offensive tears, followed by prolonged slumps. When he starts to slump, I want to see him remain in the lineup. The only issue I currently see with him at the plate, is that he appears to have some trouble with junk on the outside corner. His HR Tuesday against Toronto where he went with the pitch, and deposited into the RF bleachers was very impressive. His power is the real-deal… In June, I want to see if he can consistently drive pitches to RF.
7) The O’s have a useful bench of Zaun, Wigginton, Pie, and Andino. They need to be used, and with 6 inter-league games in National League parks,they should receive that opportunity.
8) Adam Jones has an OPS over 1.000 as May is ending, with 25 xbh’s in 175 at-bats. It is hard to imagine him being able to keep-up this level of MVP caliber production, but if he comes anywhere close – he will bein line to be named a reserve on the AL All-Star team.
9) Markakis has been cold, as he is just 9 for 50, with zero walks in his last 11 games. You will know he is out of the slump as soon as he starts going opposite-field again, and getting a few walks. All-Star games only mean so much, but I’d like to see Markakis get there, and that will take a strong June for that to be possible.
10) Rich Hill has made 3 starts, and is 1-0, with a 6.14 era. In his first two outings, he went 5.2 innings both times, and allowed just 2er each time. In the latest outing he allowed 6er in 3.1 innings. In 14.2innings, he has allowed 16 hits, and 9 walks, with 15 k’s.
I’m looking for 30 innings, with about 28 hits, 30 k’s, and 10 walks.Hill’s fastball has sat around 87,88… I’m interested to see if he can raise that to 89-91 with a bit more work. He needs to get ahead, and continue to be able to finish off hitters with that monster 12-6 curve.
11) Uehara allowed 21 hits, 8 er, 5 bb’s, with 19 k’s in 20.2 innings during May before being moved to the DL with a left-hamstring injury. Having a couple of weeks off, will probably serve him well as the season progresses. During the past two years, he had a total of 150 innings pitched… the injury could wind-up being a blessing that keeps him fresh. When he returns from the DL, who does he replace? The current expectation would be Berken.
12) In Brian Bass’s last 19.1 innings, he has allowed 3 er, with 18 k’s,and just 6 bb’s. I do not believe in him, but I can not dispute his recent run of success. I would like to see his role expanded to situations of additional responsibility, and see how he responds.
13) I would like to see Chris Ray back in an Oriole uniform by July 1st.
14) Bergesen, Berken, and Hernandez will get multiple opportunities in June.
Bergesen ended May with his best start, going 8 innings, allowing 7 hits, 2 er, 0 bb’s, with 3 k’s. Was it just a coincendence that Wieters was catching?
Bergesen is going to be around the plate, without overpowering stuff.. which means he is going to give up his share of hits. Can he improve his k-rate at all?
Berken also has good control, and is going to pound the zone… can he force a bunch of grounders with his sinker?
Hernandez has led the South Atlantic, Carolina, and Eastern Leagues in K’s… he had a ton at Norfolk this year…. Can he continue to get hitters to chase at the ML Level? Can he consistently get his change-up over for strikes?
15) The Spring Training concern about Luke Scott adapting to DH seems rather silly at this point. With two games remaining before June, he has 16 xbh’s in 110 at-bats, and has an OPS of 1.084.
In 2007 he had 53 walks, and 95 k’s.
In 2008 he had 53 walks, and 102 k’s.
In 2009 he has 15 walks, and 19 k’s.
Can he keep that current walk to k ratio close through June?