by Stephen Loftus | Jul 10, 2021 | MLB Draft
Goodhart’s Law isn’t one of the widely known adages. I hadn’t heard of it until a few years ago, but it’s one that I think can widely apply to all analytical data scenarios. It really should be called the Goodhart-Strathern Law, as...
by Stephen Loftus | Jul 6, 2021 | Baltimore Orioles, MLB Draft
We’re five days out from the 2021 MLB Draft, and there’s one question that’s dominating the Orioles fan’s minds: Will the front office pick the best player available, or will they go underslot? It can seem like a foreign concept at times; why...
by Stephen Loftus | Jun 28, 2021 | Baltimore Orioles, Major League Baseball, MLB Draft
If you study statistics for any length of time, eventually you’ll run across the oft-repeated aphorism of noted statistician George Box. While similar sentiments pre-dated Box, he succinctly noted in a 1978 paper… All models are wrong but some are useful....
by Stephen Loftus | May 25, 2021 | Baltimore Orioles, MLB Draft
For 9 months it was Kumar Rocker. Then Jack Leiter threw 20 hitless innings. The allure of the high school shortstop vaulted Jordan Lawlar ahead of these two collegiate stars. And then… Consensus now is that Louisville C Henry Davis goes 1st in MLB Draft, 2...
by Stephen Loftus | Apr 7, 2021 | Baltimore Orioles, Major League Baseball, MLB Draft
Two months ago, college baseball kicked into gear as did my draft mind (After a few months hiatus). There was much joy that college baseball was back, as well as anticipation for the stars that would inevitably emerge. The debates raged (At least in my mind) about...
